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2022 Ongororo uye 2023 Outlook yeKugara Kwesimba Kuchengetera muEurope

Kubva 2021, musika weEurope wakakanganiswa nekukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi, mutengo wemagetsi ekugara wakakwira nekukurumidza, uye hupfumi hwekuchengetera simba hwakaratidzwa, uye musika uri kuwedzera.Tichitarisa kumashure ku2022, kunetsana pakati peRussia neUkraine kwakawedzera kusagadzikana kwesimba.Kunotungamirwa nepfungwa yedambudziko, kudiwa kwesimba rekuchengetedza imba kucharamba kuchikura.Tichitarisira kuna 2023, shanduko yesimba repasi rose ndiyo yakajairika, uye simba remhuri kuzvishandisa ndiyo nzira huru.Mutengo wemagetsi epasi rose wapinda munzira inokwira, hupfumi hwekuchengetedza simba remhuri hwaonekwa, uye nzvimbo yemusika icharamba ichikura mune ramangwana.

Tichitarisa kumashure muna 2022:

Dambudziko reEuropean energy, kukurumidza kukura kwekuchengetedza simba remhuri

Iyo yakawanda yakawanda yekuchengetedza simba reimba inoshandiswa pamwe chete neimba yakagoverwa photovoltaics.Muna 2015, huwandu hwegore huchangobva kuiswa hwekuchengetedza simba remhuri munyika hwaingova 200MW.Pakazosvika 2020, hutsva hwepasi rose hwakaiswa hunosvika pa1.2GW, gore negore kuwedzera kwe30%.

Muna 2021, musika weEurope uchakanganiswa nekukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi, uye mutengo wemagetsi kuvagari uchakwira nekukurumidza.Hupfumi hwekuchengetedza simba hucharatidzwa, uye musika uchange uchikura.Tichitora Germany semuenzaniso, 145,000 seti yeimba photovoltaics yakawedzerwa muna 2021, ine simba rakaiswa 1.268GWh, gore negore kuwedzera kwe +49%.

Mufananidzo: Nyowani yakaiswa simba rekuchengetedza simba reimba muGermany (MWh)

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Mufananidzo: Zvitsva zvekuwedzera zvesimba rekuchengetedza edzimba masisitimu muGermany (10,000 dzimba)

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Chikonzero chekukura nekukurumidza kwekuchengetedza simba remhuri muEurope muna 2022 kunobva mukudiwa kwesimba rekuzvimiririra pasi pesimba reRussia-Ukraine gakava uye kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi kwakavandudza hupfumi hwekuchengetera simba remhuri.

Kunyanya kuvimba nesimba rekunze kwakaunza dambudziko remagetsi, uye kukakavara pakati peRussia neUkraine kwakawedzera kunetseka kwesimba.Zvinoenderana ne "BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", simba refossil rinoverengera chikamu chepamusoro chesimba reEuropean chimiro, uye gasi rechisikigo rinosvika 25%.Uyezve, gasi rechisikigo rinonyanya kutsamira kune dzimwe nyika, uye inenge 80% inobva kune dzimwe nyika mapaipi uye liquefied gasi rechisikigo, iro rinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kuRussia Natural gas rine 13 bhiriyoni cubic tsoka pazuva, inoverengera 29% yezvese kuwanikwa.

Nekuda kwekunetsana kwezvematongerwo enyika, Russia yakamira kuendesa gasi rechisikigo kuEurope, ichityisidzira kupihwa kwesimba muEurope.Kuti kuderedze kutsamira kwesimba kuRussia uye kuchengetedza kuchengetedzwa kwesimba, hurumende dzeEurope dzakaunza marongero ekuvandudza simba rakachena uye nekumhanyisa kukurumidza kwekuchinja kwesimba kuve nechokwadi chekuwaniswa kwesimba.

Mufananidzo: European Energy Consumption Structure

kuchengetedza simba3Chikonzero chekukura nekukurumidza kwekuchengetedza simba remhuri muEurope muna 2022 kunobva mukudiwa kwesimba rekuzvimiririra pasi pesimba reRussia-Ukraine gakava uye kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi kwakavandudza hupfumi hwekuchengetera simba remhuri.

Kunyanya kuvimba nesimba rekunze kwakaunza dambudziko remagetsi, uye kukakavara pakati peRussia neUkraine kwakawedzera kunetseka kwesimba.Zvinoenderana ne "BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", simba refossil rinoverengera chikamu chepamusoro chesimba reEuropean chimiro, uye gasi rechisikigo rinosvika 25%.Uyezve, gasi rechisikigo rinonyanya kutsamira kune dzimwe nyika, uye inenge 80% inobva kune dzimwe nyika mapaipi uye liquefied gasi rechisikigo, iro rinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kuRussia Natural gas rine 13 bhiriyoni cubic tsoka pazuva, inoverengera 29% yezvese kuwanikwa.

Nekuda kwekunetsana kwezvematongerwo enyika, Russia yakamira kuendesa gasi rechisikigo kuEurope, ichityisidzira kupihwa kwesimba muEurope.Kuti kuderedze kutsamira kwesimba kuRussia uye kuchengetedza kuchengetedzwa kwesimba, hurumende dzeEurope dzakaunza marongero ekuvandudza simba rakachena uye nekumhanyisa kukurumidza kwekuchinja kwesimba kuve nechokwadi chekuwaniswa kwesimba.

Mufananidzo: European Energy Consumption Structure

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Chikonzero chekukura nekukurumidza kwekuchengetedza simba remhuri muEurope muna 2022 kunobva mukudiwa kwesimba rekuzvimiririra pasi pesimba reRussia-Ukraine gakava uye kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi kwakavandudza hupfumi hwekuchengetera simba remhuri.

Kunyanya kuvimba nesimba rekunze kwakaunza dambudziko remagetsi, uye kukakavara pakati peRussia neUkraine kwakawedzera kunetseka kwesimba.Zvinoenderana ne "BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", simba refossil rinoverengera chikamu chepamusoro chesimba reEuropean chimiro, uye gasi rechisikigo rinosvika 25%.Uyezve, gasi rechisikigo rinonyanya kutsamira kune dzimwe nyika, uye inenge 80% inobva kune dzimwe nyika mapaipi uye liquefied gasi rechisikigo, iro rinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kuRussia Natural gas rine 13 bhiriyoni cubic tsoka pazuva, inoverengera 29% yezvese kuwanikwa.

Nekuda kwekunetsana kwezvematongerwo enyika, Russia yakamira kuendesa gasi rechisikigo kuEurope, ichityisidzira kupihwa kwesimba muEurope.Kuti kuderedze kutsamira kwesimba kuRussia uye kuchengetedza kuchengetedzwa kwesimba, hurumende dzeEurope dzakaunza marongero ekuvandudza simba rakachena uye nekumhanyisa kukurumidza kwekuchinja kwesimba kuve nechokwadi chekuwaniswa kwesimba.

Mufananidzo: European Energy Consumption Structure

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Mitengo yemagetsi epasi rose inopinda mugero riri kukwira

Upfumi hwekuchengetedza simba remhuri hwakajeka

Mitengo yemagetsi ekugara inonyanya kuumbwa nemitengo yemagetsi, mari yekuwana grid, uye mitero ine hukama nemitero, iyo mutengo wemagetsi (kureva, mitengo yemagetsi emagetsi emagetsi emagetsi) inongoverengera 1/3 yemutengo wemagetsi ekupedzisira.Mitengo yemagetsi yakakwira gore rino, zvichikonzera kuwedzera kwemitengo yemagetsi.

Mitengo yemagetsi ekugara inotora nzira yegore repasuru, uye pane imwe lag mukufambiswa kwemitengo yemagetsi inowedzera, asi maitiro ekuwedzera kwemutengo wemagetsi ari pachena.Parizvino, mutengo weyuniti wegore rimwe remagetsi package yevagari mumusika weGerman wakakwira kusvika panosvika 0.7 euros/kwh.Iko kudhura kwemagetsi kwakakurudzira kudiwa kwevagari kuti vawane simba rekuzvimiririra uye kuchengetedza mabhiri emagetsi nekuisa imba photovoltaic + simba rekuchengetedza masisitimu.

Verenga huwandu hwakaiswa hweakagoverwa photovoltaics zvichienderana nehuwandu hwemhuri, funga nezvekupinda kwesimba rekuchengetedza simba reimba kuti uwane huwandu hweakaiswa simba rekuchengetedza imba, uye tora avhareji yakaiswa simba paimba imwe neimwe kuti uwane iyo yakaiswa simba rekuchengetedza simba reimba mukati. munyika uye mumisika yakasiyana-siyana.Isu tinofanotaura kuti imba yepasirese simba rekuchengetedza simba nzvimbo ichasvika 57.66GWh muna 2025, ine musanganiswa wekukura mwero we91% kubva 2021 kusvika 2025. Pakati pavo, musika weEurope ndiwo mukuru, une hutsva hwakaisirwa huwandu hwe41.09GWh muna 2025. , nehuwandu hwekukura kwe112%;Iyo yekuwedzera yakaiswa simba yaive 7.90GWh, ine musanganiswa wekukura kwe71%.

Nzira yekuchengetedza simba reimba yakanzi golden track neindasitiri.Simba guru rekukura kwekukurumidza kwekuchengetedza simba reimba rinobva pakuti simba rekuchengetedza imba rinogona kuvandudza kushanda kwemagetsi anozvigadzira uye kuderedza mari yehupfumi.Zvichitungamirwa nekukwira kwesimba repasi rose uye kupokana kwezvematongerwo enyika mune mamwe matunhu, kuchengetedza kwesimba remumba kwepasi rose kwakadzvanya bhatani rekukurumidza kumberi rekusimudzira.

Vachitungamirirwa nehukuru hwekuchengetedza imba yekuEurope, vagadziri vazhinji vakadurura muindasitiri yekuchengetedza simba, uye mamwe makambani akabatsirwa zvizere nekukwira kweindasitiri yekuchengetedza simba reimba.Avo vakabatsirwa zvakanyanya mabhizinesi akapinda mudzimba dzekuchengetedza simba masisitimu, mabhatiri, uye inverters kare, uye akawana kukura kwejometri mukuita.


Nguva yekutumira: Nov-25-2022